Ekspor bulan Juni melorot sebesar 8,6 persen dibandingkan Mei dan selama Januari-Juni 2013 turun 6,09 persen dibandingkan periode yang sama tahun lalu. Walaupun impor total juga turun lebih cepat, namun tak mampu mengimbangi penurunan ekspor, sehingga defisit perdagangan meningkat dari $590 juta pada Mei menjadi $847 juta pada Juni. Defisit perdagangan kumulatif Januari-Juni sudah mencapai $3,3 miliar, dua kali lipat dari defisit sepanjang tahun 2012. Apalagi biang keladinya kalau bukan defisit minyak yang terus naik.
Transaksi perdagangan nonmigas belum kunjung membaik. Walaupun selama Januari-Juni mencatatkan surplus, namun selama tiga bulan terakhir menderita defisit. Ini sudah lampu kuning, harus diwaspadai secara seksama. Jika tidak, nilai tukar rupiah bakal terus tertekan.
Karena, defisit migas terus naik. Selama Januari-Juni, defisit migas sudah melampaui defisit migas keseluruhan tahun 2012.
Ditambah lagi sejak tahun 2013 minyak mentah pun sudah defisit dengan kecenderungan membengkak.
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Faisal Basri is currently senior lecturer at the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia and Chief of Advisory Board of Indonesia Research & Strategic Analysis (IRSA). His area of expertise and discipline covers Economics, Political Economy, and Economic Development.
His prior engagement includes Economic Adviser to the President of Republic of Indonesia on economic affairs (2000); Head of the Department of Economics and Development Studies, Faculty of Economics at the University of Indonesia (1995-98); and Director of Institute for Economic and Social Research at the Faculty of Economics at the University of Indonesia (1993-1995), the Commissioner of the Supervisory Commission for Business Competition (2000-2006); Rector, Perbanas Business School (1999-2003).
He was the founder of the National Mandate Party where he was served in the Party as the first Secretary General and then the Deputy Chairman responsible for research and development. He quit the Party in January 2001. He has actively been involved in several NGOs, among others is The Indonesian Movement.
Faisal Basri was educated at the Faculty of Economics of the University of Indonesia where he received his BA in 1985 and graduated with an MA in economics from Vanderbilt University, USA, in 1988.
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