Inflasi Mengakselerasi dan Prospek Suku Bunga

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Hari ini (1 Maret 2017) BPS merilis data inflasi terbaru. Bulan lalu laju inflasi year-on-year tercatat 3,83 persen, lebih tinggi dibandingkan Januari sebesar 3,49 persen. Inflasi bulan Desember 2016 sekaligus inflasi sepanjang tahun 2016 tercatat 3,02 persen.

Kelompok makanan jadi, minuman, rokok dan tembakau mengalami kenaikan harga tertinggi (5,08 persen), disusul oleh bahan makanan (4,39 persen), dan kesehatan (4,06 persen).

Inflasi tahun kalender 2017 (Januari-Februari) sudah mencapai 1,21 persen. Tampaknya inflasi tahun ini akan berada di kisaran 4,5 persen sampai 5,0 persen.

inflasi

Selama dua tahun terakhir, laju inflasi di Indonesia paling tinggi di antara ASEAN-6, termasuk Vietnam.

asean-inflation

Masalah akut inflasi di Indonesia masih diseputar urusan perut.

Ancaman kenaikan inflasi juga berasal dari kenaikan harga BBM. Tahun ini harga minyak diperkirakan naik 29 persen dibandingkan harga rerata tahun lalu. Juga berasal dari kenaikan harga-harga barang dan jasa yang diatur pemerintah.

oil_price

Dengan kecenderungan inflasi yang meningkat serta likuiditas perbankan yang agak ketat, tampaknya BI untuk sementara waktu tidak akan menurunkan suku bunga acuan, bahkan boleh jadi sebaliknya. Apalagi jika The Fed menaikkan suku bunga pada Maret ini.

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About faisal basri

Faisal Basri is currently senior lecturer at the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia and Chief of Advisory Board of Indonesia Research & Strategic Analysis (IRSA). His area of expertise and discipline covers Economics, Political Economy, and Economic Development. His prior engagement includes Economic Adviser to the President of Republic of Indonesia on economic affairs (2000); Head of the Department of Economics and Development Studies, Faculty of Economics at the University of Indonesia (1995-98); and Director of Institute for Economic and Social Research at the Faculty of Economics at the University of Indonesia (1993-1995), the Commissioner of the Supervisory Commission for Business Competition (2000-2006); Rector, Perbanas Business School (1999-2003). He was the founder of the National Mandate Party where he was served in the Party as the first Secretary General and then the Deputy Chairman responsible for research and development. He quit the Party in January 2001. He has actively been involved in several NGOs, among others is The Indonesian Movement. Faisal Basri was educated at the Faculty of Economics of the University of Indonesia where he received his BA in 1985 and graduated with an MA in economics from Vanderbilt University, USA, in 1988.
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One Response to Inflasi Mengakselerasi dan Prospek Suku Bunga

  1. Mas Yunus says:

    Di pasar-pasar tradisional, harga cabai masih tinggi. Uniknya, harga cabai di level petani (produsen) berbeda cukup signifikan dg harga cabai di pasar/konsumen akhir…

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