Sahut-sahutan bak berbalas pantun soal data beras terus berlanjut di internal pemerintah. Kali ini antara Kementerian Perdagangan dan Kementerian Pertanian. Menteri Perdagangan mempertanyakan surplus beras 10 juta ton tahun 2015. Pasalnya, harga beras masih saja naik sampai Januari 2016. Menurut BPS, beras merupakan salah satu penyumbang utama inflasi Januari 2016. Sudah berbulan-bulan seperti itu.
Kementerian Pertanian membela diri. Lihat Data Surplus Beras Diragukan. Anehnya, Kementerian Pertanian menggunakan data stok beras 2007-2011 hasil survei Sucofindo dan Kementerian Perdagangan. Kalau hendak membuat neraca beras yang akurat seharusnya stok beras tahun 2015 juga berdasarkan survei tahun yang sama.
Dalam perhitungan produk domestik bruto (PDB), BPS selalu memasukkan unsur stok atau inventori.
Kalau produksi turun, stok cenderung turun. Karena itu stok selalu berubah dari waktu ke waktu. Kalau stok turun, harga cenderung naik.
Kuncinya masih tetap tentang asumsi produksi yang dipertanyakan banyak kalangan. Salah satunya lihat Salah Hitung Produksi dan Stok.
Kementan tidak cukup mengklaim stok beras aman jika harga beras terus merangkak naik.
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Diterbitkan oleh faisal basri
Faisal Basri is currently senior lecturer at the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia and Chief of Advisory Board of Indonesia Research & Strategic Analysis (IRSA). His area of expertise and discipline covers Economics, Political Economy, and Economic Development.
His prior engagement includes Economic Adviser to the President of Republic of Indonesia on economic affairs (2000); Head of the Department of Economics and Development Studies, Faculty of Economics at the University of Indonesia (1995-98); and Director of Institute for Economic and Social Research at the Faculty of Economics at the University of Indonesia (1993-1995), the Commissioner of the Supervisory Commission for Business Competition (2000-2006); Rector, Perbanas Business School (1999-2003).
He was the founder of the National Mandate Party where he was served in the Party as the first Secretary General and then the Deputy Chairman responsible for research and development. He quit the Party in January 2001. He has actively been involved in several NGOs, among others is The Indonesian Movement.
Faisal Basri was educated at the Faculty of Economics of the University of Indonesia where he received his BA in 1985 and graduated with an MA in economics from Vanderbilt University, USA, in 1988.
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